1) PSU beats Michigan St. to finish 10-2 on the season. Cincinnati wins out and wins the Big East. Texas wins out and wins the Big 12 and plays for the national championship. The Winner of the SEC Championship game (Florida/Alabama). Either Georgia Tech or Clemson wins the ACC. Oregon wins the PAC 10. TCU and Boise St. finish undefeated.
2) The Bowls have the following selection order this year: Orange, Fiesta then Sugar. However, the Sugar Bowl would most likely lose the number one ranked team to the national championship game and the fiesta would lose Texas as well. So the order would be Sugar, Fiesta, Orange, Fiesta then Sugar.
3) So automatic births will go to SEC Champion (Florida/Alabama winner), ACC Champ (Probably Georgia Tech), Big 12 Champ (Texas), PAC Ten Champ (Probably Oregon), and Big Ten Champ (Ohio State). The SEC Champ and Big 12 Champ will play in the National Championship games, opening up two at large spots. At this point, there are four at large spots open. The first goes to the loser of Florida/Alabama game. Hard to picture a scenario this doesn't happen. TCU would get the second for being the highest ranked non BCS school in the top 8. That leaves two spots. The following teams will likely meet the requirements of being in the top 12 in the BCS (note no SEC team is eligible because they already have two reps): Boise St., Oklahoma State, Iowa, Penn State and maybe Virginia Tech/Stanford.
4) The selection would then go as follows:
- BCS National Title - Texas v. Florida/Alabama Winner
- Sugar Selects Florida/Alabama Loser
- Fiesta Selects Penn State
- Orange already gets Georgia Tech and selects Cincinnati
- Fiesta selects TCU
- Sugar Selects either Boise St. or Oklahoma State
So Penn St. would play TCU in the Fiesta Bowl. However, a lot could happen before that. An PSU needs to take care of business on saturday against the Spartans.
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