Saturday, July 31, 2010

the truth is big business loves obama

"I'm generally supportive [of the financial reform bill]. To be sure, there are details of it that I think I'm less sure of, but I think, on the whole, financial reform is, absolutely is essential and I will say that last week, in New York, I listened to a speech by Barack Obama at Wall Street, and one of the points he made resonated with me because I’d said it myself. He said that the biggest beneficiaries of reform will be Wall Street itself.” 
- Lloyd Blankfein, CEO Goldman Sachs (Homeland Security & Government Affairs, Permanent Subcommittee On Investigations, U.S. Senate, Hearing, 4/27/10)

"We continue to believe that comprehensive health care reform will benefit patients and the future of America. That’s why we have been involved in this important public policy debate for more than a year and why we support action by the House to approve the Senate-passed bill along with the amendments found in the reconciliation legislation."
- Official Statement of the Pharmaceutical Researchers and Manufacturers of America (PhRMA), is the largest single-industry lobbying group in America on 3/21/10 regarding Obamacare.

"Climate legislation is one of the critical issues that will be considered this year on Capitol Hill.  The House passed the Waxman-Markey legislation, a comprehensive, economy-wide bill [that] represents a moderate approach that was supported by a wide range of major American companies who make up the US Climate Action Partnership – including companies with a strong Indiana presence such as AES, Duke Energy, Alcoa, Dow, DuPont, GM, Ford, and Chrysler . . . Exelon has been preparing for a low-carbon future for the last decade. [We have] [s]old or closed most of our inefficient fossil fuel plants, [i]nvested billions in our fleet of 17 zero-emission nuclear reactors. In summer 2008 [we] released Exelon 2020, our plan to reduce, offset, or displace 15 million metric tons of greenhouse gas emissions per year, equal to our 2001 carbon footprint, by 2020. We are one-third of the way to our goal, and have a plan to accomplish the rest."
- John Rowe, CEO Exelon Energy (Indiana Council on World AffairsMarten House Hotel, Indianapolis 1/20/2010)

So if you listen to any cable news network or read most any paper all you here is how Obama is "anti-business" and that it is for this reason that the economy is slowly recovering.  Well that is only a half truth in my opinion.  I don't think Mr. Obama is anti-business per se, although I do believe that he is anti-market, which is actually profoundly worse than being anti-business.  The three quotes listed above are all attributable to big business heavyweights: Blankfein is for financial reform, the PhARMA lobby was all for Obamacare and Exelon, one of the largest power producers in the midwest and mid-atlantic (the coal region), wants nothing more than a full cap and trade system.  Does any of this make sense?  Why would a financial giant like Goldman Sachs want more financial regulation?  Why would a power company that produces a majority of its power on fossil fuels want to have the price of those fuels increased dramatically?  The answer is easy of course: they see a future with less competition.

Take financial reform for instance.  Now I understand and agree that any sound financial system must have rules of the road.  However, I firmly believe that the rules should be clear and must be debated before they are enacted.  This is the opposite of what occurred in the Dodd-Frank Bill. There are no new clear cut leverage requirements, there are no new clear prohibitions on proprietary trading.  There are just directives.  These directives either require or authorize incompetent agencies like the SEC to issue rules it thinks are appropriate.  In total the U.S. Chamber of Commerce estimates that Dodd-Frank authorizes a total of 533 rules to be written over the next few years.  Are some of these rules probably necessary?  Of course, but instead of being written by the Congress in the full purview of the electorate they are going to be written in closed door meetings were you need to pay to play.  I bet Mr. Blankfein knows this and is happy about it.  Few firms have the regulatory, compliance and lobbying staff to compete with Goldman Sachs when the task becomes influencing the inept government agents writing these rules.  They will invariably benefit the biggest and most connected of the banks at the expense of their smaller competitors, hence their support for financial reform.  

The same can be said about Exelon's desire for cap and trade.  As Mr. Rowe mentions in his speech, Exelon has been moving away from carbon based energy for years now.  Exelon is a Illinois based power producer and was a major contributor to Barack Obama.  Now they want their reward.  Instead of having to compete on a level playing field where consumer demand requires energy companies to be as efficient and cost-effective as possible, Exelon wants the Obama administration to price its competition out of the market.  It's whole business model over the past few years is that it is trying to get into a position of strength by lowering its carbon footprint ahead of the U.S. legislation so that it could put its boot on its competitors once their costs were artificially higher because of diktats from Washington.  Now that cap and trade seems dead that are literally shitting their pants and demanding even more intervention from Washington on their behalf.  Notice how the other companies named in Mr. Rowe's comment are all major corporations with huge lobbying arms.  Their support is predicated on the belief that they will be able to influence who gets "free credits" and what parts of industry will be "exempt."  That sure is one way to compete effectively.

What these examples show is that government intervention in the economy always produces winners and losers.  For the most part the interventions most favored by Mr. Obama undoubtedly favor the largest and most connected businesses in the industries affected.  Be it the hundreds of new rules in Dodd-Frank that have yet to be written or the onerous requirement that all business entities must now file a 1099 for every supplier with whom they purchase over $600 per year in goods (courtesy one of the many unread provisions in Obamacare), red tape and government regulation most favors the largest firms with large legal departments and the funds to spend on lobbying.  Small businesses, the real economic and job growth engines in our society, have neither of those advantages.  They are forced to play by the rules negotiated by their larger competitors.  Usually this is to their disadvantage.  These same small businesses are not hiring for this exact reason.  

There are three costs that almost all small businesses face regardless of their type of business: the must pay for energy, they must pay for credit, and they pay for health care for many of their workers.  Under Mr. Obama's polices the price for all three is going up.  Throw in the fact that tens, if not hundreds, of thousands of these small business owners, who are often organized into partnerships, limited liability companies or Subchapter S Corporations, are about to see their taxes increased at the end of the year, it is completely logical that they are not hiring or expanding.  The best thing Mr. Obama could do to help the businesses is to be "anti-business" and instead be "pro-market."  Let them compete effectively with their larger competitors and stop disadvantaging them by enacting "reforms" that put these competitors in a position to write the rules of the game.  These businesses don't want handouts and special privileges, just the opportunity to compete fairly and let the market decide who has the best product.

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